In news that will alarm Australia’s ‘dignified’ major parties, Pauline Hanson’s One Nation has skipped straight over Labor to take the top position in Queensland.
Newspoll reports One Nation on 30 per cent, leading Labor (27 per cent), the Coalition (23 per cent), and the Greens (11 per cent).
There was even a suggestion that 35 per cent of former Coalition voters at the previous federal election now intend to vote for One Nation.
Could it be higher?
With the Leader of the Nationals, Matt Canavan, sitting on the number two spot on the preselection ticket, he might be in trouble.
After the South Australian state election, no one is game to rubbish these figures. If anything, they will wonder if they are an under-estimate.
Queensland is Pauline’s home state. It’s no surprise to find the primary vote so high.
Voters who are tired of the economic downturn caused by both major parties, and who are also enraged by the severity of a fuel crisis that never should have happened, are taking out their frustration at the polls.
And for all idiotic paranoia that the Coalition exhibited in their anti-Maga behaviour, where so much as looking at a red hat invoked terror at the next press conference, there is no evidence One Nation is suffering a downturn following America’s war with Iran.
Voters have been smart enough to understand that One Nation supported mutually beneficial policies in America, such as its tough stance on border security and determination to ‘drill, baby, drill’, without needing to support all of its international positions.
That’s what nuance looks like in the adult world of politics instead of the Petri dish of Canberra which festers over social media hashtags that ultimately mean nothing in the real world.
While the Coalition might be wondering what happened to reliable votes from the farming community, Labor and the Greens will no doubt be concerned to discover One Nation picking up gains in the 18-34 demographic.
No, it’s not a conquest … yet.
However, One Nation is doing what the Coalition have failed to achieve for decades, and that is to re-fashion the conservative brand for a new generation with different problems to solve.
As the real-world crashes into young people’s finance, One Nation has saturated their favourite social media platforms with a range of policy solutions.
To add insult to injury for the progressives, female voters are flocking to the party.
Who knows, maybe it’s because Pauline has never had to take the definition of a woman ‘on notice’.
One Nation is surging with Christian voters, migrant voters, farmers, blue-collar workers, contractors, business owners, university-educated voters, pensioners, and young families.
Essentially, fed up taxpayers and those old enough to remember what Australia should look like.
One Nation might even have the answer to the great ‘Teal’ dilemma.
After all, the Farrer by-election will decide the survival prospects of the ‘Net Zero’ message in a new reality where Australians are demanding domestic fuel reserves and new refineries, irrespective of cost.
The fantasy of an oil-free world has been dragged out and butchered.
There will be consequences for green-hued political movements.
As for the future of One Nation, the polls show them ahead of the ideological rival, the Coalition, in every state except Victoria.
That might change after the utter shambles of the Moira Deeming preselection where anecdotal commentary online suggested a massive ‘walkaway’ from the Victorian Liberals.
While the recent polls have One Nation behind in Victoria, they report a sudden groundswell in their favour pushing them to 21 per cent behind the Coalition’s 22 per cent.
Hardly a ravine. More like a shallow creek bed with a trickle of the blue ribbon.
The problem for the major parties is that the rise of One Nation is not predicated on one or two policies. This is not a knee-jerk reaction to a bad year or even a single political crisis.
It’s 30 years of frustration.
Voters have joined One Nation in full possession of its failures and limitations. There is no scandal or petty smear campaign to throw at them. They simply view the failures of the major parties as more severe.
The only remedy is for the major parties to fix themselves and their policies.
A task for which the present management is wholly incapable of undertaking.
That’s why Pauline Hanson is smiling. She knows what comes next.


















