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What’s to become of Africa’s teeming youth?

19 February 2022

9:00 AM

19 February 2022

9:00 AM

Youthquake: Why African Demography Should Matter to the World Edward Paice

Head of Zeus, pp.411, 25

Demographers are attached to their theories. The field’s most enduring is the ‘demographic transition’, whereby modernisation inexorably lowers a society’s once-high fertility to replacement rate. Unfortunately, reality is obstreperous and doesn’t always obey the rules.

The United Nations Development Programme bases population projections on the assumption that all countries will eventually follow the pattern of plummeting birth rates first observed across the West.

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