The fortnightly Essential Poll is out today, eclipsed (as it all too often is) by the Monday Newspoll, despite showing a great red warning light Coalition strategists should see as an even bigger threat than their soft primary vote in Newspoll yesterday.

Fourteen per cent of Coalition voters — Coalition voters, not all voters — think it’s “time to give someone else a go” while 16 per cent are unsure.

Essential Research

In other words, virtually a third of those who voted Liberal at the last election are now either wobbly — or gone.

Among all voters, New South Wales and Queensland show the strongest support for giving someone else a go; two states that together make up more than half the 151 House of Representatives seats between them. Their “unsure” ratings are among the lowest, too.

Essential Research

Strap in. It’s going to be one helluva ride between now and election day.