The Jeremiah strategists are coming out of the woodwork to predict that Asia in 2014 will be a repeat of Europe in 1914. In other words, that there will be an outbreak of war between the major powers in our region, just like in Europe 100 years ago. This line of reasoning predicts that a rising China will inevitably go to war with the United States, either directly or through conflict with Japan.
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Paul Dibb is emeritus professor of strategic studies at the Australian National University in Canberra.
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