The West shouldn’t underestimate Russia in Ukraine
Russia’s winter offensive appears to have begun with a decidedly underwhelming series of operations in the Donbas. So far results…
Why the West is reluctant to give Ukraine F-16s
Ever since Russia invaded Ukraine almost a year ago, the questions of if, when and how to supply the Ukrainian…
Don’t write off the Russian air force
The Russian air force’s failure to establish air superiority over Ukraine – and the consequent inability of its fighter and bomber aircraft…
Why Russia failed to dominate the skies over Ukraine
In the run up to the Russian invasion in February airpower analysts, including this author, were gloomy about Ukraine’s ability…
Ukraine defeats Russia in Kharkiv
What began as a probing attack by Ukrainian mechanised forces towards the occupied town of Balakliia on 7 September has, with…
Ukraine’s Kherson offensive may have already been a success
The Ukrainian armed forces launched a long–awaited offensive on Kherson this week. However, the counter-offensive was signalled for so long…
How Ukraine is sabotaging Russia’s army
Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SOF) or possibly partisan fighters have conducted successfully attacks on three significant targets in occupied Crimea…
Is the war slipping away from Ukraine?
After the decisive failure of Russia’s attempt to overthrow the government of Ukraine by seizing Kyiv, Kharkiv and other key cities…
Inside Russia’s military collapse in Ukraine
The Russian military has performed far worse in Ukraine than anyone could ever have predicted. After failing to take Kyiv,…
Russia and Ukraine's fate is about to be decided
The first phase of the Russian invasion of Ukraine has ended with a decisive defeat for Russian forces in the…
Why Russian tactics won't win the war
As the Russian invasion of Ukraine enters its second month, the war has settled into a largely attritional struggle –…
The Russian army is running out of momentum
As the Russian invasion enters its fourth week it is clear that its forces are running out of momentum, although…
Why hasn’t Russia been able to stop Ukraine’s drone attacks?
Among the many weapons being used by the Ukrainian military to inflict losses on the Russian invasion forces, several have…
Putin’s dream of annexing Ukraine is over
As the Russian invasion of Ukraine enters its third week, it is becoming abundantly clear that the Kremlin’s maximalist geopolitical…
The Russian army is failing – but not enough to lose the war
There have been three major surprises for military analysts since the Russian military invaded Ukraine. The first has been the…
