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Guest notes

Dis-con notes

2 December 2017

9:00 AM

2 December 2017

9:00 AM

No more shilly-shallying

When Parliament sits on Monday, it will (I assume) be greeted by another Newspoll. The last one was so bad for the Coalition (and Malcolm Turnbull personally) that Monday’s is expected to show some ‘recovery bounce’. Let’s see.

Meanwhile, consider this 14-month polling record:

– Beginning September 27, 2016, all 23 Newspolls showed Coalition trailing Labor by a substantial two-party-preferred (2PP) margin, where ‘substantial’ means four percentage points or more (i.e.,

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