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Books

Superforecasting could spark a revolution in politics

How Philip Tetlock has transformed the science of prediction

3 October 2015

9:00 AM

3 October 2015

9:00 AM

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner

Random House Books, pp.340, £14.99, ISBN: 9781847947147

Forecasts have been fundamental to mankind’s journey from a small tribe on the African savannah to a species that can sling objects across the solar system with extreme precision. In physics we have developed models that are extremely accurate across vastly different scales from the sub-atomic to the visible universe.

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