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Election Coverage Flat White

Do not believe the polls

26 April 2025

10:51 PM

26 April 2025

10:51 PM

Why have we not learnt this lesson? Has everyone forgotten the 2019 election? Or the Trump election? Or the Voice referendum? The polls (and the so-called reliable betting markets) were wrong.

Never mind. The addiction to the swings and roundabouts of different polls, written by different people, with variable skills in item-writing, for different purposes, and paid for by different masters, has stayed with us.

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