Make no mistake. The next election is there for the taking for Mr Dutton. And this is only the case because the Coalition (the Nats first, the Libs far too slowly afterwards) came out officially against the Voice. I don’t mean the insipid, hair-splitting, pettifogging opposition of a few shadow cabinet ministers who plainly favoured the whole Voice idea provided a couple of quibbling details here and there were changed – a good few of whom as shadow ministers contributed nothing to the No ground campaign. No, I mean the value-based opposition of those who saw that the various political and constitutional problems (very serious ones, no doubt) were all nevertheless secondary to the core problem, a moral one, that this Voice proposal dealt in unequal citizenship.

Imagine if the Libs had supported the Voice or stayed neutral. I still think the Voice would have lost. In that case the wedge that would have been driven between the party faithful and the parliamentary MPs would have been unbridgeable any time soon. And if, contrary to my guess, the Voice had gotten up with Lib support, well, Albanese and Labor would have been looking at three terms minimum. Instead, by opposing and learning what the fruits of standing on principle can be in the face of every organ of the elite establishment and some early focus groups and polling, the Libs may not have ended this Labor government but boy have they opened the door to that eventuality.

So here is my two cents’ worth, my three recommendations, for how Mr Dutton wins the next election. First off, the Liberal party needs to break its addiction to mass immigration and to do so now. We need a core pledge to wind back our immigration intake to under 30,000 per year. I know that this Albanese government is ratcheting up our current intake big time. But let’s all remember that the lockdown years aside, the nine years of Coalition government oversaw colossal yearly immigration intakes – in per capita terms arguably the highest in the democratic world. And we are seeing some of the fruits of that mass immigration in terms of a sea change in attitudes to Israel and to any core commitment to Western civilisation.  My view is that the evidence is plain. What was created in the West was the best set of attitudes and outcomes for delivering the freest and wealthiest lives any humans have ever known. But a few decades ago we gave up on assimilation. We opted for the cultural relativism that underlies multiculturalism. It is not just former prime minister John Howard who believes multiculturalism has failed.  Look and see what is happening in Britain at the moment. The first step is to wind back significantly the numbers of immigrants taken into this country every year until we can get back on the assimilation path. A strong pledge to do this would, I believe, win Mr Dutton the next election by itself.  Its appeal crosses party boundaries. Those who will detest it will be the ABC crowd, the big corporates and their HR masters, the visa factory universities, many of those living in the Teal seats who shun details and facts on the ground in favour of feel-good abstractions, the leaders of the churches and charities – put simply, the entire elitist group that pushed for the Voice with every monetary and other advantage going and were nevertheless slaughtered at the polls. If the Libs learn nothing else from the Voice referendum it should be that this group has far less sway and power than the Mark Textor advisor class to the Libs imagines.

Of course there is a more prosaic or tawdry reason why the Libs and Labor support world’s biggest per capita immigration.  It’s because they are unable or unwilling to explain that GDP (gross domestic product) is a poor, if hard-to-game, economic measure.  It’s always assumed that GDP increases are a good in themselves. They are not. GDP just measures economic activity. If government spending goes up, GDP goes up. Worse, if you were an island with fifty people and you let in another fifty the GDP would go up almost automatically and yet the GDP per person might well go down significantly. That is what has happened in Australia. GDP per person – the measure of how each of us is doing individually – has languished for the last decade or two. We’ve done no better than ‘no-immigration’ Japan on that count. But meanwhile all the new people bring in massive new traffic; house prices go up virtually in tandem with the numbers (which, of course, the uber-wealthy Teal voters who wallow in moral sanctimony just love) locking out the young (and so while tinkering with superannuation rules might help buying a house a tiny wee bit cutting down massively on the immigration intake would do much more); and we don’t even try to assimilate many of these people which is the very definition of stupidity on steroids. But hey, it helps keep our substandard universities afloat, right?

Again, GDP per capita in no-immigration Japan has been basically the same as in our world’s highest per capita immigration Australia. We need a Dutton pledge to rein this in, now. Meantime go and check out how many GDP per capita recessions we’ve had of late, ones that are virtually never mentioned in the legacy press.

On top of that we need Dutton to make an ironclad pledge to repeal any Disinformation and Misinformation Bill that Airbus Albo manages to get through parliament. And I mean Dutton needs to promise this even if the wets in the party room are resistant. The Black Hand gang of the Liberal party has been nothing but poison since it orchestrated the removal of Abbott. So stand up, Mr Dutton, and tell us all right now that whatever censoring, speech-inhibiting Bill Labor pushes through will be repealed as soon as the Libs next form government and that will happen even if it requires a double-dissolution election. That sort of pledge might go some way to restoring the Liberal party’s catastrophic standing with the many voters who care about freedom.

And, of course, any sort of pledge to jettison net zero and bring in sane energy policies will round out the trifecta. Think about the cognitive dissonance of allowing mass immigration while pushing net-zero commitments measured by the country. And have I mentioned lately that when I arrived here in Oz in 2005 we had the OECD’s lowest energy prices and today we have virtually the highest, all brought to you solely by the obsessions of the political class and ones that make literally zero difference to the world’s temperature trajectory? It’s just moral wankery that impoverishes everyday Australians. The pretence is that we’re moral exemplars who affect decision-making in China or even the US – in fact, Trump will jettison net zero the day after he wins.

So cut immigration big time. Go back to being sane on energy. And promise to stand up for freedom in a way the Liberal party hasn’t since it rolled Mr. Abbott. James the Prognosticator says those three alone will deliver a huge election victory to Mr. Dutton from the very same coalition of voters who roundly rejected the Voice. (Put differently, ignore those Teal seats that all voted Yes.)