Features

Why no one will win on 7 May 2015

Even if David Cameron or Ed Miliband secures a majority, the next parliament looks impossible to handle

10 January 2015

9:00 AM

10 January 2015

9:00 AM

On 19 June 1815, after the battle of Waterloo, the Duke of Wellington declared that ‘nothing except a battle lost can be half so melancholy as a battle won’. Two hundred years later, David Cameron or Ed Miliband might feel the same way as they sit in Downing Street. Any elation over victory will be quickly overshadowed by the thought of troubles to come — in all likelihood insurmountable troubles for either man.

Everyone has known for years when this election will take place, with the result that the campaign starting gun has been fired even earlier than usual. Cameron is busy prophesying economic chaos if Labour wins; Miliband is warning that the NHS won’t survive in its current form if the Tories get back in. Nick Clegg, meanwhile, is volunteering to be either the Tories’ heart or Labour’s spine — and stressing that he’s not picky about which. He can’t afford to be. His party could lose half its seats.

As they criss-cross the country, Cameron and Miliband are both spurred on by a fear of failure. Defeat for either of them would almost certainly mark the end of their political career. Cameron’s political life would be over before he was 50. He would be remembered as the man who couldn’t beat Gordon Brown and lost to Ed Miliband. His modernisation programme would be dismissed as an outright failure and his friends and allies would be forced out of positions of influence in the Tory party.

Though losing would be hard for hyper-competitive Cameron, it might be even harder to bear for Miliband. He would have to face up to the fact that he ruptured his relationship with his brother for an unsuccessful stint as leader of the opposition.

But if defeat would be dire for either man, winning would not be much better. Whoever ends up in Downing Street in May will be the weakest prime minister in living memory. They will be forced to implement the most difficult half of the austerity programme with a slim to nonexistent parliamentary majority at a time when traditional party discipline is breaking down in the House of Commons.

The best that either party can hope for is the narrowest of outright victories, even smaller than the 21-seat margin that John Major ground out in 1992. Both Cameron and Miliband face the prospect of governing with very little wriggle room.

If Miliband ends up in No. 10 with a tiny majority, he will still find himself having to impose swingeing spending cuts — something his party is just not prepared for. He can’t simply assume that Labour MPs will support a Labour PM. One of the great myths about the Tony Blair years is the idea that Labour MPs blithely went along with whatever he wanted. They didn’t — but his majorities were so large that he could overcome even sizeable rebellions.


Miliband won’t be so lucky. In Blair’s first term, there were several major revolts. In 1997, 47 Labour MPs voted against government plans to cut lone parent benefits, and another 100 abstained. In 1998, 31 rebelled on plans to introduce tuition fees. In 1999, 53 opposed changes to incapacity benefit. In 2000, 37 tried to block the privatisation of air traffic control. Any comparable rebellion would sink Miliband. To make matters worse for him, he will have to implement policies that are far less appealing to the parliamentary Labour party than the Blairite reforms. Can you really imagine the Campaign Group of Labour MPs voting to continue the public–sector pay freeze?

The danger for Miliband is that he will find himself having to negotiate with his own MPs before he can achieve anything. He will be the hostage of his parliamentary party — and Labour MPs could be particularly jumpy after the election. They are well aware that when established centre-left parties on the continent have presided over austerity, they have created space for the emergence of parties of the radical left.

Miliband would also have to contend with the unions. If a Labour government continued the cuts — and Ed Balls is adamant that it would — then the unions might choose to break their link with the Labour party. Indeed, Len McCluskey, the general secretary of Unite, has already hinted that his union might back the creation of a new Workers’ party if Miliband were to disappoint it. Again, it is worth remembering the Blair years, when two unions — the RMT and the FBU — ended their relationship with Labour.

But the problems that a slim majority would present for Labour pale in comparison to those posed by running a minority or coalition government. If Miliband falls short of an outright victory, the Labour party’s instinctive preference would be to try and ‘do a Wilson’ — form a minority government and then seek a majority in a second election, as the party did in 1974. Shadow cabinet members argue that a period in government could allay two of the electorate’s biggest fears about Labour, that Miliband isn’t up to being prime minister and that the party is bound to wreck the economy again. Privately, they also admit that getting a coalition deal with the Liberal Democrats past their party would be almost impossible.

Running a minority government would be fraught with difficulty, however. The minor parties would all want to extract their pound of flesh. The Scottish Nationalists would be determined to show that they were dragging Labour to the left. When Nicola Sturgeon set out the SNP’s demands for a hung parliament, she was clear that she wanted an end to austerity and no renewal of Trident. But Labour knows that it would be an existential threat to the party in Scotland if it looked like the SNP were leading it by the nose.

Not that David Cameron would find governing any easier. Even if he somehow secures a slim majority, any re-election honey-moon will be short-lived. The ‘bastards’ would be back before summer was out. Tory MPs would immediately start to demand sight of Cameron’s EU renegotiation strategy — after all, the Prime Minister would have only 18 months to win agreement from every other EU capital for his demands. As one Tory minister with an ambiguous relationship with the Prime Minister likes to say, maliciously, ‘David really does deserve to win the next election.’ Some describe a small majority as ‘the scenario that is the most difficult possible for Cameron’.

If Cameron were to set out what powers he actually wanted to bring back from Brussels, many Tory MPs would be disappointed at how short the list was. I have spoken to one normally loyalist cabinet minister who is expecting to campaign for an out vote on the grounds that Cameron is unlikely to change the terms of Britain’s membership sufficiently.

Another potential problem for Cameron will be the many spurned, sacked and slighted Tories who are eager for revenge, determined to scupper him come what may. Talking to a couple before Christmas, I asked how they thought Cameron’s relationship with the party would change if he won a majority. After a brief pause, they both said that he would still be gone within a year. Their prediction might be motivated by malice, but it is revealing: Cameron has lost a section of his party. If he won a small majority, he would be reliant in the House of Commons, night after night, on the support and loyalty of Tories who dislike and distrust him.

When you put this to those who work in Downing Street, they joke that these would be good problems to have — given they only arise in the case of a victory. Oddly, however, the Tories might find it more straightforward to ditch Cameron if they were governing on their own. A senior backbencher observes, ‘In a funny way it would be easier to get rid of a leader when you have a majority. Getting rid of a leader in coalition would be considerably messier.’

One thing that will make Cameron’s position more uncertain will be the return of Boris Johnson to the House of Commons, as MP for Uxbridge and South Ruislip. In this parliament, there has been no credible alternative to Cameron as Tory leader. Boris’s presence will change that.

If the Tories do not win a majority, Cameron will have to decide whether to try to govern as a minority or to form another coalition. Inside Downing Street, time has been spent on calculating the ‘bugger-off number’ — the point at which the Tories could reasonably expect to survive governing on their own. But if Cameron did decide that he needed another coalition, getting it past his party would be more complicated than last time around. He would need to secure, in some form, its formal approval. If he tried to simply push it through, he would be faced with Tory MPs conducting their own vote on the proposed deal.

Hung parliaments are what the Liberal Democrats live for. But another one would throw up some difficult — even existential — questions for Nick Clegg’s party. If they were to hop straight from Cameron’s bed into Miliband’s, they would immediately endanger the seats they had clung on to in the election. But if they were to join the Tories again, they would start to look like a mere subset of their coalition partners. This is why powerful figures in the party believe that they should avoid a coalition after the next election. Yet Clegg’s leadership almost certainly depends on the Liberal Democrats still being in government after May.

The next few months will be the most dramatic in political memory. Ukip and the SNP will attempt to break the mould of British politics. The Tories and Labour will have a substantive argument about how big the British state should be. No one can argue that this election does not matter. But whoever wins will be in a bind from day one, curtailed by the strain of governing in these straitened times and the challenges posed by the fracturing of politics. The truth is that whoever wins the election, Cameron or Miliband, they are highly unlikely to make it through a full five-year term.​

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  • chris

    SNP/Labour coalition calling it now

    • FlippityGibbit

      I thought, despite ALL his faults, Ed had way more sense! Anyway, I see the presumption is that the Lib Dems will have any seats to offer any partner!

    • Peter Arnott

      You do understand that Labour (in Scotland) would rather gnaw their own legs off?

  • JohnCrichton89

    It would seem as you say, that the next PM will be the weakest we have ever known……. until you realise they all agree on the actual issues that affect us.
    Power to the EU, immigration continuing unabated, capitulation to Islam, restrictions on free speech etc.

    Think of it this way, if Cameron got 100% of the votes in every area and had the power to leave the EU…………. he wouldn’t.

    If there was mass protests against Muslims raping and killing our children in the name of Islam Cameron would call the protestors racist bigots and Islam peaceful.

    If people called to stop all welfare cheques to Africa/middle East and instead fix our third world health service, Cameron wouldn’t.

    If people called for immigration to be stopped and those that haven’t integrated to be removed, nothing would happen.

    These are the problems the UK has, and not one political party will do anything. They are in consensus that the UK should be a white minority Muslim majority country with non-Muslims living in fear 24/7 and having their children gang raped by gangs of men all called Mohammed.

    • Barba Rossa

      Whoever wins they must realise

      • prospero’s child

        Whoever wins they must understand the Union is over, this despite the Unionist winning the Referendum.

        I shall take a similar view if the SNP win a majority of scottish seats in May. The “wrong” result does not stand.

        • Barba Rossa

          One mans meat..old fruit

        • Sam Mitchell

          The “”wrong”” result… the wrong result was that there was no third question on the ballot… for devo max… the wrong result was that many many people who feel the poll was fixed to favour the status quo… the wrong result was when gordo made up a “””vow””” that was actually some non-entity of a journalistas wet dream… when the smith commission kindly gave …in some far distant wm approved vote? to allow Holyrood the power to alter road signs but not the APDuty or Corporation Tax… or any other meaningful tax alteration…. but perhaps they were afraid that Holyrood would show them how to nail the tax dodging friends of dave & ed… as it’s clear that wm is afraid now… very very afraid…. hence every bribe/trick/lie that can be spun is desperately out there…

          • Ivan Ewan

            I wish Scotland would become an independent country so that it would go bankrupt by itself without soaking up ever more subsidies… but then with Scotland’s nationalism combined with its socialism, I’m afraid it might become like another North Korea…

          • saffrin

            Begging for an EU bailout within a decade, only to be told Scotland will have to rob it’s own people’s bank accounts before that can be allowed.

          • smilingvulture

            I nominate this post for Darwin Award 2015

          • Arturo Franks

            I’ve seen worse, far worse.

          • prospero’s child

            You lost

      • Jonathan Burns

        Barba you must understand that you can either stick with the Union or go bust.
        What is the price of oil? Well below Mystic Salmond’s predictions 🙂

        • David Murphy

          It will go back up, probably within a year or two. The main architects of the Saudi expansion to force the price down are both ill and could change course at any time. price would shoot back up above 100 very quickly. Saudi is forcing the price down t ensue the expensive oil producers that threaten it cannot continue to produce (Shale, Tar sands etc). ONce the yanks start reducing output and exports Saudi will cut back production and the price rise. 2 years max an could well be sooner.

      • saffrin

        Not if we elect a PM that talks common sense.

    • Blindsideflanker

      Cameron is remarkable in what he has achieved with the disability he has, that of a completely malfunctioning political nose. He has managed to leap on every bandwagon going in the wrong direction, but still managed to stagger into No10. That has to be recognised as an achievement, a very , very limited achievement , but considering his disability an achievement nevertheless.

      • Earthenware

        My more uncouth colleagues used to say “it’s easy to shine in a bucket of sh*t”.

        Cameron’s achievement has been to (barely) succeed over useless competition. He couldn’t even win an election over Gordon Brown.

        I’m not sure that it’s an achievement, more an indictment of the British habit of voting tribally.

      • Justin’s political justice

        Cameron and ed milliband will continual to support a political system which is finananced and owned by the banks and while us mere mortals continue to obey the law the politicians of both political party’s continually protect there current financial backers (bankers) the citizen will be held accountable to the law while banks get away with fraud and Criminal offences with out prosecution. I guess protecting your future employer is only natural instinct.
        Hsbc keep up the tax evasion arms dealing and washing Mexican drug money you have nothing to fear.
        Maybe labour and conservatives should be called nationalwestminster and Barclays.
        Austerity make the poor and vunrable pay because tax payers money is scarce unless you need to bail out a bank or fund MPs exspenses then there is no end of tax payers money

    • Nag

      Know what ??
      This is exactly what has happen in France during the last 7 years and will happen again and again until a strong leader take the appropriate decisions.
      You should have heard about terrorism in France during the last days with 17 dead in 48h. Without speaking about what is happening everyday in this country (murder, murder murder…)
      By the way, I’m french but you already noticed it…

      • Keith

        Just to express my regrets over the events in your country. During the referendum the French people were wonderful as ever sadly I failed to feel the same spirit from your government.

  • Roy

    One group that will surely lose in the elections, if the political farce continues its merry way, is the people. With an election in the offering, they have nothing to go by on who is reliably telling the truth and who deserves their single vote. When they rub shoulders on the street to all manner of people who also have a vote, a single vote like them. They must wonder who on earth is working for their interest in the power house that is the parliamentary system. The fog that descends from the media machine, and every minute portion of it, infiltrating through the double glazing, the wide screen, and the mobile, all with a perfectly plausible argument for its indisputable view. Perhaps at this time when the dice are perfectly shaken, the result will be the best and most fair possible. A toss-up.

    • Arturo Franks

      With an election in the offering, they have nothing to go by on who is reliably telling the truth and who deserves their single vote.

      The safest assumption to make is that they are all liars willing to make any and all manner of absurd pledges in order to gain power.

  • alabenn

    Hopefully there is an election shortly after, it will prove that the current lot are incapable of governing.
    That might help to get people elected who put the majority first, they can then get on removing or preventing alien cultures from entering or destroying the country, time for this is rapidly running out, it is probably already to late and it is debatable whether the people have the stomach for it.

  • James Jones

    A vote for the Labour Party or the Tories is vote for 4 million[1] new immigrants in the next parliamentary term and vote against our own young people’s futures.

    [1] This is based on the number of National Insurance numbers that have been issued to foreign nationals in the years 2011, 12, 13. Namely 700,000, 601,000 and 638,000 respectively. Plus a small allowance for children, over-stayers, other illegals and asylum seekers.

    • Alex

      All those foreigners, coming over here, paying their National Insurance…

      • JohnCrichton89

        Being issued a NI number doesn’t mean they are active contributors, we have some 22,000 polygamous marriages here in the UK, some 66,000 cases of FGM, more than 75% of the Muslims in Bradford are married to their first cousin…….. I could go on.

        The fiscal gain from actual contributors quickly vanishes when we factor in all the negatives, even if there was a net gain. How much is your country worth ?

        The 24hour terror alert for non-Muslims, the professional street beggars, the massive rape wave of your women and children …….. all of these things will be the norm for our children as they grow up thanks to immigration, all of these things are set to get worse as they grow up. There is no amount of money that makes this OK.

      • Michael Hunt

        One sincerely hopes so. We’ll be facing an annual bill of around £450 million just on their State Pensions in the future hell we’ve been keenly building over the past twenty years.

  • cambridgeelephant

    Nigel to be smiling on May 8th.

    New Spectator Editorial line required May 9th. Or perhaps a new Editor ?

    • Arturo Franks

      I shall enjoy reminding you of that comment come May 8th…. I am quite confident that Nigel will not be smiling at all.

      • cambridgeelephant

        Make sure you do – even if it isn’t on your EU crib sheet ‘to-do’ list.

  • John Carins

    Conservatives can deny Labour victory by voting UKIP in the appropriate constituencies e.g. Heywood and Middleton.

  • misomiso

    The irony is that both leaderships wants to win, but both set of backbenchers want to lose.

    If Labour is in opposition, they can elect a good leader and come back after most of nastiest cuts have been implemented with their hands clean.

    If the Tories are in opposition, the party will purge itself of Federalists and become an ‘out’ party, in favour of an economic relationship with Europe but not a political one.

  • Peter Arnott

    Good Piece. England’s difficulty being Scotland’s opportunity etc. A good election to lose.

  • Tim Morrison

    James heads his article ‘no one will win.’ This identifies the interests of all of us with the party leaderships in either Tory or Labour. Both are drawn from narrower groups than every before, both are out of touch with their own parties. We need rid of them and for something different to happen. The people who are our representatives in Scotland now are the people whom are dismissed here as extremists. They are not a fringe group but our legitimately elected government with a mandate to follow through their policies.
    The mould of British politics you mention does not exist anymore. Such a shame that you are only just beginning to realise it. it seems rather odd that the Westminster politicians who created this constitutional situation seem to find it all so strange.

  • All Labour leaders have answered to the PLP.

    • Arturo Franks

      And so they bloody should, JP.

  • Mark B

    I especially agree with the third paragraph. Why ? Because one thing that I have noticed in the last 2-3 weeks is, that politicians are less fearful of the ballot box than the bullet.

    Merkel can call her people all the names she wants, they can do nothing. Cameron and all the others are now having to face the one people on the planet who they all truly despise – the electorate. The one people, and the one time, when we, the people, have power over them. The trouble is, we have never really learned how to use it. Maybe, by accident more than design, this election will be different.

  • This could have been said for 2010 as well. Given the austerity required at the time, it was the worst election to win in living memory

  • Who says Cleggy will even still be an MP after the election, let alone a leader vulnerable to attack?

  • NBeale

    I don’t think its a foregone conclusion that the result of the GE will be close. The electorate has already decided (rightly) that Ed isn’t up to the job. And when they asked people to predict the result YouGov found a Conservative win over a Labour win by 37:25.

    At present it costs nothing to tell a pollster you will vote Labour or UKIP. But a significant fraction of these people won’t actually vote that way at the GE. If 50% of the ex-LDs go back from Labour and 50% of the UKIP people revert to Cameron then Cameron will get a substantial majority even now. And come May the bogus “NHS Crisis” will be over as will the bogus “Cost of Living Crisis” and we’ll have another 4 months of economic growth and job creation.

  • Jonathan Cook

    Have we ever elected a Lame Duck PM directly into office before, or would Miliband be the first?

  • SonofBoudica

    Being Labour means being like the bad parent. Giving the kids everything they want, regardless of proper budgeting or economic restraint.
    By voting`Ukip, despite what the Ukippers say, such voters are giving the election to Miliband. It will rebound on them totally, since he will lock us into the EU and the Euro for ever.

    • Ivan Ewan

      Local results have proven that if you vote for UKIP, you’ll probably get UKIP, but that voting Tory will hand victory to Labour….

  • Rupert Williams

    You haven’t mentioned the biggest losers of the next election – the electorate.

    There is nobody in the race I would actually want to vote for. Even UKIP by their switch to left wing rabid anti-immigrationism makes them an unattractive alternative to the main stream parties.

    • Winston Johnson

      UKIP are the best of a bad bunch really.
      The way I see it is that at least if they were to win, or even do very well, then we might have an opportunity to diminish the power of political correctness, the British people might regain a bit of pride in themselves, and therefore UKIP would be a stepping stone to something better further down the line.

      We have about five years to fix this country. Mass violence is now inevitable but the extent of the violence will be determined by how willing we as a people are to fix our problems over the next five years.

      If we don’t get them fixed then the simple fact is that British children have no future here. Rotherham and the other rape scandals, the race riots, the crime wave against the indigenous people, etc, were and are just small tasters of what is to come if we don’t get tough and do something to save ourselves.

  • Carter Lee

    This is an interesting article for an American. While I follow British politics out of one eye I find it vastly more complex than the more black and white of American politics.

    A question: Why the unusually long run-up to the election? Are not British election campaigns normally relatively short? Here in the states we have already begun the race for 2016 with the fund raising preliminaries.

    No offense to Labour meant here but Miliband really comes off as pretty weak tea. Cameron may be better a better fit considering the strong possibility of both a Republican President and Congress in 2016? Or is what the colonials do irrelevant?

    • Ivan Ewan

      Of course it’s relevant. I mean, at the moment, we have no idea what the American government is trying to do with foreign policy. “Reckless” would be a good word to describe it. Anyway, we want to pretend that our opinions matter in US elections as well.

      To answer your question, there are two answers:

      Firstly, the five-year term was recently passed into law, whereas it used to be four or five years depending on the confidence of the government in residence to win the next election, or to get their policies enacted in time.

      Secondly, as the article explains, it’s a very close race, so parties are going to want to make more of an effort.

      Also, Miliband is very weak tea, yes. Cameron’s not much better, with his indignant-face making up much of the difference. Clegg is history, the article puts it more nicely.

      This election is actually more like a race between UKIP and the SNP.

      • Carter Lee

        Instructive! Thanks.

        • Carter Lee

          With the exception of the interesting Boris Johnson pals with former New York City Mayor and billionaire Mike Bloomberg
          it is difficult to find charismatic leaders in British politics, nobody with real ‘fire in their belly’.

          • David Murphy

            There is nothing charismatic about Johnson. he tries to be al things to all people, frequently contradicting himself and talking garbage. he is a complete idiot and would be a disaster as PM. I would certainly not vote for any party that allowed him to become leader.

  • derekemery

    It makes no difference who gets in power as the winners are guaranteed to be the richest 1%, not just in the UK but over much of the world. Ever increasing financialization is the only game in town in most OECD countries http://www.globalresearch.ca/whats-the-primary-cause-of-wealth-inequality-financialization/5374930
    The hollowing out of the middle class means lower taxation is raised making it harder to pull down debt and the deficit especially combined with reducing corporation tax http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/tax/11162272/If-Britain-is-booming-why-is-the-deficit-growing.html
    More power and wealth for the richest is being planned throughout the world http://www.salon.com/2015/01/07/robert_reich_the_trans_pacific_partnership_is_a_disaster_in_the_making_partner/

    The TTIP will serve a similar role for the EU.
    Holding elections makes no difference. These people are always in power.

  • Peter Shaw

    No the really losers are the electorate….we get more of LibLabCon again…..More of LibLabCon to get us further into debt, to have massive numbers (hundreds of thousands) of legal and illegal immigrants, money spent and wasted on benefits, money wasted on overseas aid, more pandering to Islamic millitants and the fifth columnists, more pandering to Scottish nationalists at the expense of England….can’t wait for more of the same of this….should make Britain a nice cheery place to live…

  • Terry Field

    The 1.6 Trillion in debt, and the de-indutrialised unproductive and much impoverished State makes a touch of reality required; it will only happen when collapse happens, and that cannot be very far away now.

    • saffrin

      Ah yes but then there is always Dave’s printing press.

      • Terry Field

        Sadly the fantasy days are over for the duration.
        Vous etes stuffed.
        Ich bin ein auslander
        Yabber dabber doooooooo!!!!!!!

  • Nick

    “In this parliament, there has been no credible alternative to Cameron as Tory leader. Boris’s presence will change that” – Haha. While Boris The Buffoon might offer welcome light relief to Londoners, the idea of him pratting about at international summits is utterly ludicrous.

  • I have my fingers crossed for a National (Unity) Con-Lab government where the Blue Tories and the Red Tories can put the few cosmetic differences between them aside . . . for the sake of the country, you understand. It may be the only way to preserve the FPTP duopoly they have enjoyed for so long.

    The Tories will be returned as the largest party and there will be naught left of the LibDems on the political landscape but a wet spotch. I see cameron getting the heave-ho having failed to win two consecutive General Elections.

    Boris Johnson will succeed him as PM with an emasculated Miliband as his deputy. The SNP will rout the Red Tories, the Blue Tories, and will extinguish the shitty orangy-yellow-coloured Tories (AKA LibDems) in Scotland, to become the third largest party in the Commons.

    Sinn Fein, sensing opportunity, will actually take their seats in the House, and a consensus will emerge among the minor parties (absent the Ulster unionists and the single UKIP MP) that Alex Salmond should be leader of Her Majesty’s Loyal Opposition.

    I look forward to PMQ for the first time in decades as Alex the-voice-of-reason Salmond, goes head to head with Boris the-sound-of-one-neuron-clapping Johnson. The vastly experienced erstwhile First Minister up against the inchoate chancer born with a silver foot in his mouth.

    Pass the popcorn.

  • Baron

    No, James, you are wrong to suggest everyone’s going to lose next May, the country may win if people vote as they should.

  • Paul Wonnacott

    This country is in as much risk of going down the tubes as it was in 1940, it’s time for an multi party coalition government again, only trouble is we don’t have a Churchill to steer it

    And hey if you think Labour will be bad for the economy, UKIP will do more harm in a year,than a century of LibLabCon, and they will line their mates’ pockets at your expense just like the rest of them

    UKIP may however take enough from all to make a multi party coalition the only feasible option, I don’t believe a minority govt can ever be an option, except for them having the job of calling another election

    Maybe McGinnis and Adams et al will finally swear the oath, just to see the fireworks, Imagine if it came to pass that Sinn Fein held the deciding votes? I would so love to see that

  • Lina R

    If Labour get again, it won’t be just 70 per cent of the population concerned about mass immigration, it’ll be 90 per cent and a victory for Ukip as the British people demand an exit from the superstate of Europe.

  • A World of Paine

    His (Cameron’s) modernisation programme would be dismissed as an outright failure and his friends and allies would be forced out of positions of influence.

    You say it, as if it were a bad thing.

  • Terry Field

    The UK has become such a complete hell-hole and it simply does not matter who or what ‘wins’ the next election.
    Decades of talent-free incompetence at the top has achieved an irreversible squalor.
    The envy of the world.
    I left a long time ago.
    Thank God

  • Rifleman1853

    Cameron? Miliband? Clegg?

    You’re talking about yesterday’s men, Mr Forsyth. On reflection, make that yesterday’s metrosexuals.

  • CheshireRed

    Is there half a case for all 3 party leaders to be out of a job shortly after the GE?
    If Cameron doesn’t secure an outright victory for the second election running, he could be gone, and definitely will be if Labour pip him to be the largest party.
    If Labour lose that’s Ed done for.
    Nick Clegg is already toast.
    To lose all 3…..Cameron does enough to secure victory via a Tory / Ukip coalition, (ensuring Ed and Nick are history) but Farage and the anti-Cameron wing call for Dave’s head as the price of coalition.
    Voila! Ta-ra to all 3 current leaders.

  • colonel wintle

    Milliband and Clegg on the dole, I laughed all morning.

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